Not surprisingly RBA decided to put rates on hold , leaving rates unchanged. During RBA monetary policy meeting it was concluded that the inflation forecast is consistent whereas low interest rates support both borrowing and spending. RBA statement caused just a small bounce in the pair effectively leaving the pair within the sideways range.
Technically last 10 days AUDUSD has been trading below 0.7200 and any rallies toward have been a chance to short it further as I have stated before. The pair shows hidden divergence and compression triangle shows a possible breakout soon. Hidden bearish divergence is telling us that the pair is ready to proceed down possibly testing 0.7070 and 0.7020. Anyway, for trend traders some pullback is required as R:R is significantly higher then. POC comes around 0.7205 spot and if 0.7230 stays strong , another good opportunity for short is there. Historical sellers, 50.0 fib, Divergence top all constitute a strong POC and upper trendline of the triangle will be adjusted then too for additional resistance.
AUDUSD is bearish targeting 0.7070, 0.7020 and 0.6990 but the decision should be about either going for a breakout trade or a classic pullback trend trade.
The analysis and the article presents Nenad's opinion. Remember, financial trading is highly speculative & may lead to the loss of your funds. Proper risk management is the Holy Grail of trading.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.