DAX – Inverted H&S pattern could lead to a test of 2014 high


Trading Analysis Corner

Key Technical Bullets:

•  Has been trading in an Inverted Head & Shoulder throughout 2014
•  Found support in mid-March into the 38.2% retracement of advance
•  Broke above daily Ichimoku Cloud top at 9405 & gapped higher
•  Closed the gap higher earlier today
•  This was coincided by finding support into the 100-day sma
•  Inverted H&S neckline resides near 9700
•  Distance between the Head and the neckline is 800pts
•  Watch for potential daily RSI confirmation/rejection at corresponding resistance
•  If validated, Inverted Head & Shoulder measured move objective is 10500

Should the DAX close above 9700, next levels to watch: 9794 (2014 High), 10000 (psychological & barrier/option related) & 10500 (Inverted H&S measured move projection).

Notable data/events which may influence the DAX next week:

  • Tuesday – ECB M3 money supply, EU Apr. Consumer Confidence (f), German Apr. CPI (p)
  • Wednesday – German Mar. Retail Sales, EU April CPI (a)
  • Thursday – German Bank Holiday
  • Friday – EU Apr. Manufacturing PMI, EU Mar. Unemployment rate

Chart Source: Bloomberg, FOREX.com

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