The Kiwi has rallied after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised rates by 25bps to 3.00% – This was in-line with market expectations.
Summary of RBNZ statement:
· Increased the Official Cash Rate(OCR) by 25bps to 3.00%
· Rate hike needed to keep future average inflation near 2% target
· Raised GDP estimate to 3.5% from 3.3%
· Confidence remains very high among businesses & households
· High exchange rate remains a headwind to tradeables sector
· Does not believe current level of NZD is sustainable
· Mortgage lending restrictions on high LTV ratios are easing housing pressure
· Speed of future rate hikes depends on data & assessment of inflation pressures
· The extent that a high NZD leads to lower inflation will also be considered
Overall, the tone of the statement was slightly more upbeat and did little to suggest that future rate hikes would be on pause. As a result, the NZD has caught a bit across the board between 30-50 pips (at the time of this writing) and may be poised for further strength over the coming sessions. Technically, we will continue to monitor the key pivot at 0.8625, as a break above this level could elicit a move towards the positive reversal measured move objective and 2014 high around 0.8740/45.
*Below you will find the April and March statement comparison, with omissions Strikethrough (in grey) and additions bold(in blue). The remaining text in black has not changed from the prior statement.
Source: Reserve Bank of New Zealand, FOREX.com
Note: All information on this page is subject to change. The use of this website constitutes acceptance of our user agreement. Please read our privacy policy and legal disclaimer. Opinions expressed at FXstreet.com are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent the opinion of FXstreet.com or its management. Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0700, as key US data loom
EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0700 in the European session on Thursday. Renewed US Dollar weakness offsets the risk-off market environment, supporting the pair ahead of the key US GDP and PCE inflation data.
GBP/USD extends recovery above 1.2500, awaits US GDP data
GBP/USD is catching a fresh bid wave, rising above 1.2500 in European trading on Thursday. The US Dollar resumes its corrective downside, as traders resort to repositioning ahead of the high-impact US advance GDP data for the first quarter.
Gold price edges higher amid weaker USD and softer risk tone, focus remains on US GDP
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buying in the vicinity of the $2,300 mark on Thursday and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak, though the upside potential seems limited.
XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger
Ripple extends decline to $0.52 on Thursday, wipes out weekly gains. Crypto expert asks Ripple CTO how the stablecoin will benefit the XRP Ledger and native token XRP.
US Q1 GDP Preview: Economic growth set to remain firm in, albeit easing from Q4
The United States Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is seen expanding at an annualized rate of 2.5% in Q1. The current resilience of the US economy bolsters the case for a soft landing.