USDAUD, Daily
I first posted on the March 23rd on the strengthening Australian dollar as commodity prices covered from their early year nadir and the negative sentiment (for now) over China began to wane. The news flow from Australia continues to be received in a positive light and the good jobs data last week helped the pair get very close to Target 2, before finally closing above it yesterday.
This trade is a good example of the cycles within cycles that occur on the currency markets and that patience is one of the key assets of a successful trader. The trade reversed for 2 days before recovering and hitting Target 1 (0.7690 +110 pips) within the following 4 days.
The extended target at Target 2 (0.7730 +150 pips) was more interesting. The pair did not have the energy on this initial attempt at the psychological 0.7700 to hold above this level. It then reversed for another 5 days, but again finding support at another round number, this time 0.7500. The rally in the pair from April 8th posting higher highs and lower lows allowed it to finally close over 0.7700 on Friday, yesterday’s large volatility allowed Target 2 to be achieved.
Although the rally in this pair may have further to run Target 1 and Target 2 have been accomplished and this trade is now closed.
Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.