EURUSD, Daily
The US jobs data revealed encouraging upside surprises for the payroll and household employment figures, but substantial weakness in the hours-worked, workweek, and wage figures that lowered our forecasts for the month. The mix reversed the January pattern of weakness in payrolls but strength everywhere else, leaving establishment data for Q1 overall that are still a positive signal for GDP growth on net, and with what is now a sharp five-month upturn in the household data that suggests an emerging return of workers to the labor force alongside a jobless rate that remained at the cycle-low 4.92% for a second consecutive month, and another climb in the participation rate to 62.9%.
EURUSD dipped on better than expected jobs numbers but then found support on a regression channel that it broke out of yesterday. Trading has been mixed after the report was published and without direction. Nearest daily support levels are: 1.0883 and 1.0818 while the nearest resistance levels are at 1.1035 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) and 1.1070.
Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.