Analysis for March 25th, 2015
EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar”
Eurodollar is moving inside a narrow consolidation channel near the top of its ascending wave. We think, today the price may fall towards level of 1.07675, thus forming a new consolidation channel. The direction the pair leaves this channel will be very important. If the market breaks this channel upwards, the correction may continue up to level of 1.2250; if downwards – continue falling inside the downtrend to reach new lows. However, the descending structure may reach new historic lows.
GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”
Pound is also consolidating near the top of its ascending wave. We think, today the price may fall to break the minimum and continue moving downwards to reach level of 1.4650. This movement may be considered as a part of a descending wave. The target is at level of 1.4400.
USDCHF, “US Dollar vs Swiss Franc”
Franc has reached the target of its descending structure. We think, today the price may form an ascending structure and reach level of 0.9900, thus forming another consolidation channel. If the market breaks this channel upwards, it may continue growing inside the uptrend; if downwards – form a correction towards level of 0.92540.
USDJPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”
Yen continues forming a descending structure towards level of 118.95. Later, in our opinion, the market may return to level of 119.92 and then start forming a consolidation channel. If the market breaks this channel upwards, it may grow to reach level of 123.00; if downwards – continue falling towards level of 117.00.
AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”
Australian Dollar is moving downwards. We think, today the price may reach level of 0.7712, thus forming a new consolidation channel. If the market breaks this channel upwards, the correction may continue to return to level of 0.9700; if downwards – continue falling towards the main target of this wave.
USDRUB, “US Dollar vs Russian Ruble”
Ruble has reached the target of its first descending wave. This structure has taken the form of an extension and may continue towards level of 55.30. This whole descending wave may be considered as the fifth one inside the downtrend. The target of this wave is at level of 44.00, which may be reached without any corrections.
XAUUSD, “Gold vs US Dollar”
Gold has completed an ascending structure. We think, today the price may continue falling inside the downtrend. The target is at level of 1113.
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD remained bid above 0.6500
AUD/USD extended further its bullish performance, advancing for the fourth session in a row on Thursday, although a sustainable breakout of the key 200-day SMA at 0.6526 still remain elusive.
EUR/USD faces a minor resistance near at 1.0750
EUR/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s small downtick and resumed its uptrend north of 1.0700 the figure, always on the back of the persistent sell-off in the US Dollar ahead of key PCE data on Friday.
Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data
Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.
Bitcoin price continues to get rejected from $65K resistance as SEC delays decision on spot BTC ETF options
Bitcoin (BTC) price has markets in disarray, provoking a broader market crash as it slumped to the $62,000 range on Thursday. Meanwhile, reverberations from spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to influence the market.
US economy: slower growth with stronger inflation
The dollar strengthened, and stocks fell after statistical data from the US. The focus was on the preliminary estimate of GDP for the first quarter. Annualised quarterly growth came in at just 1.6%, down from the 2.5% and 3.4% previously forecast.