yen   DAILY USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

Last Update At 14 Jan 2016 00:14GMT


Trend Daily Chart

Down


Daily Indicators

Falling


21 HR EMA

117.86


55 HR EMA

117.86


Trend Hourly Chart

Sideways


Hourly Indicators

Falling


13 HR RSI

30


14 HR DMI

-ve


Daily Analysis

Consolidation b4 with downside bias


Resistance

118.85 - Last Fri's high

118.38 - Y'day's high

118.08 - Tue's high


Support

117.19 - Mon's NY low

116.69 - Mon's fresh 4-1/2 month trough

116.54 - 1.618 times ext. of 120.65-118.70 fm 119.70


USD/JPY - 117.41.. Although dlr edged higher initially on Wed to 118.38 in Europe as rebound in global stocks boosted risk sentiment, price 'tanked' in NY afternoon when U.S. equities tumbled, dlr fell to 117.35 in Asia today.


. Looking at the bigger picture, dlr's break of chart sup at 118.06 (Oct'slow) to a 4-1/2 month trough of 116.69 in Australia on Mon bodes ill for the greenback in the coming days as such price action suggests re-test of key sup at 116.15 is on the cards. A break of this level, being reaction low of the major decline fm 2015 near 13-year peak at 125.86 (Jun) would pressure price to 115.57(2014 Dec low) n later twd 113.31, being 50% r of intermediate rise fm 100.76. Current falling daily technical indicators add credence to aforesaid bearish scenario n only abv 119.70 would dampen present bearish scenario on dlr.


. Today, dlr's intra-day selloff fm y'day's 118.38 high suggests aforesaid correction fm Mon's 4-1/2 month trough at 116.69 has ended n consolidation with downside bias remains for weakness to 117.09, a daily close below there would bring re-test of 116.69, then later twd 116.15. Therefore, selling the pair on recovery is recommended n only abv 118.00 dampens bearishness, risks yen

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