eur   DAILY EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
Last Update At 07 Oct 2015 23:40GMT

Trend Daily Chart
Sideways

Daily Indicators
Neutral

21 HR EMA
1.1245

55 HR EMA
1.1239

Trend Hourly Chart
Sideways

Hourly Indicators
Falling

13 HR RSI
45

14 HR DMI
-ve

Daily Analysis
Choppy consolidation to continue

Resistance
1.1330 - Sep 21 high
1.1319 - Last Fri's high
1.1289 - Mon's high

Support
1.1212 - Y'day's low (NY)
1.1172 - Y'day's low
1.1150 - Last Fri's low

. EUR/USD - 1.1236... Trading euro was tricky y'day as price swung wildly. Despite rising to 1.1284 in Asia, price fell to 1.1222 after downbeat German data b4 bouncing back to 1.1274 in NY, then down to 1.1212 b4 recovering.

. Looking at the daily chart, although euro's fall fm Aug's 7-month peak at 1.1715 to 1.1087 (Sep low) confirms early medium-term rise fm 2015 12-year bottom at 1.0457 (Mar) has formed a top there, subsequent daily swings inside the 1-month long 1.1087-1.1460 range suggests further volatile trading would continue with downside bias. A daily close below 1.1087 (reaction low fm 1.1715) would confirm decline fm 1.1715 has finally resumed n yield weakness to next daily chart sup/obj at 1.1018, then 1.0938, being 61.8% r of said upmove fm 1.0457-1.1715. Therefore, selling euro on ecovery this week is favoured n only abv 1.1319 would 'prolong' consolidation, risks gain to 1.1330, then 1.1400/10.

. Today, expect intra-day price swings to continue, however, as long as 1.1284/89 res holds, downside bias remains for another fall, below NY low at 1.1212 would encourage for weakness twd 1.1172 (reaction low fm 1.1319), break would yield subsequent weakness to 1.1135/50 area. Only abv 1.1289 risks 1.1319.
eur

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