Analysis for January 15th, 2013
GBP/USD
GBPUSD, Time Frame H4 – Indicator signals: Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen intersected below Kumo Cloud and formed “Golden Cross” (1); all lines are horizontal. Ichimoku Cloud is going down (2), Chinkou Lagging Span is below the chart, and the price is on Kijun-Sen. Short‑term forecast: we can expect resistance of Senkou Span A and the price to try to stay inside the cloud.
GBPUSD, Time Frame Н1 – Indicator signals: Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen are still under pressure of “Dead Cross” (1); all lines are horizontal. Ichimoku Cloud is going down (2), Chinkou Lagging Span is moving towards the chart from below, and the price is below the lines. Short‑term forecast: we can expect the price to move downwards.
GOLD
GOLD, Time Frame H4 – Indicator signals: Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen intersected below Kumo Cloud and formed “Golden Cross” (1); Senkou Span B is horizontal, other lines are directed upwards. Ichimoku Cloud is going up (2), Chinkou Lagging Span is above the chart, and the price is above the lines. Short‑term forecast: we can expect support of Tenkan‑Sen and the price to grow up.
GOLD, Time Frame Н1 – Indicator signals: Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen intersected above Kumo Cloud and formed “Golden Cross” (1); Senkou Span B is horizontal, other lines are directed upwards. Ichimoku Cloud is going up (2), Chinkou Lagging Span is above the chart, and the price is above the lines. Short‑term forecast: we can expect support of Tenkan‑Sen and the price to move upwards.
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Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD remained bid above 0.6500
AUD/USD extended further its bullish performance, advancing for the fourth session in a row on Thursday, although a sustainable breakout of the key 200-day SMA at 0.6526 still remain elusive.
EUR/USD faces a minor resistance near at 1.0750
EUR/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s small downtick and resumed its uptrend north of 1.0700 the figure, always on the back of the persistent sell-off in the US Dollar ahead of key PCE data on Friday.
Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data
Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.
Bitcoin price continues to get rejected from $65K resistance as SEC delays decision on spot BTC ETF options
Bitcoin (BTC) price has markets in disarray, provoking a broader market crash as it slumped to the $62,000 range on Thursday. Meanwhile, reverberations from spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to influence the market.
US economy: slower growth with stronger inflation
The dollar strengthened, and stocks fell after statistical data from the US. The focus was on the preliminary estimate of GDP for the first quarter. Annualised quarterly growth came in at just 1.6%, down from the 2.5% and 3.4% previously forecast.