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The EUR/USD pair trades at its lowest in two months, having declined down to 1.1071 at the beginning of the day, as investors continued to sell the common currency during the Asian session. Weighed by ECB's latest economic policy statement, the common currency is bouncing from that low partially on profit taking ahead of the weekend, but also supported by some positive data coming from the EU. The Services  and Manufacturing PMIs for October showed some solid growth in the region, with only the German Manufacturing PMI weakening in the month. 

Later today, the US will release its own Manufacturing data, expected to have decline in October to 52.8 from the previous 53.1. In the meantime, stocks maintain their previous strength, extending its rallies and trading at fresh 2-month highs. 

View the Live chart of the EUR/USD

The pair has fell down to the long term ascendant trend line coming from April low at 1.0519, a major support, yet so far the bounce has been quite shallow. The price is struggling around the 1.1120 region, also a critical level, and seems unable to rally beyond it. In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators are currently consolidating in extreme oversold territory, but far from suggesting the pair can extend its upward corrective movement at the time being, whilst the 20 SMA heads strongly lower, too far away from the current level to even consider it today.

The EUR/USD pair can extend its advance un to 1.1160, although selling interest may cap the rally around it, particularly if dollar's demand resumes. Further gains above it however, should lead to a test of the 1.1200 level. Renewed selling pressure below 1.1100 on the other hand, should see the pair extending its decline towards fresh lows around 1.1050/60, whilst further declines should lead to an approach to the 1.1000 figure.


Latest updates on the EUR/USD Forecast

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