EUR/USD Forecast: bullish towards 1.1260


The EUR/USD pair started the day with a strong footing, up to a fresh high of 1.1248 in the European opening. Equities are down, German bunds yields continue to rise, and in general, the market is extending yesterday's rallies. So far, news that Moody's rating agency has cut Greece's credit rating to 'Caa2' from 'Caa1' and assigned it a "negative" outlook, have been ignored. Macroeconomic released in Europe showed that local unemployment remained at 11.3% in March against expectations of a decline to 11.2%, whilst the EU inflation met expectations in April, at 0.0% yearly basis, whilst the core reading held at 0.6%. 

The pair retraced below the 1.1200 figure currently trading around 1.1190, and with the 4 hours chart showing that the technical indicators are heading sharply higher after a limited downward correction, in extreme overbought territory. In the same chart, the 20 SMA has advanced further below the current price now near the 50% retracement of the 1.1533/1.0461 bearish run around 1.1000. The pair is also well above the 61.8% retracement of the same rally at 1.1120, now a key support in case of additional declines below 1.1160. Renewed buying interest above 1.1220 on the other hand, should see the pair extending up to 1.1260 first, with the 1.1300 level coming at sight if the market pushes prices beyond it. 

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