Daily Currency Market Report – 25th July 2014


The market in brief:
• AUD rally falters
• NZD tumbles even further
• Chinese Manufacturing improves
• Mixed French and German Manufacturing data
• UK Retail Sales disappoint
• US Weekly Unemployment Claims beat forecast by10%

Market moving events for the next 24 hours:
• NZ Business Confidence
• German Ifo Business Climate survey
• UK GDP
• US Durable Goods


AUDUSD:
The Australian Dollar has fallen back from its highs of yesterday as the market once again sees no reason for the currency to break out from the USD 3 cent range. The move came as US weekly Jobless Claims fell to multi year lows and beat expectations by 10%. US Durable Goods orders are due this evening and also expected to be strong. With the weekend coming we’d expect the currency to grind lower again; however it is not too late to get your currency hedging on board. SEE THE ATTACHED.

AUDEUR:
The Euro clawed back some lost ground overnight as importers took advantage of the highs and as German Manufacturing data improved. German Ifo Business Climate survey is due this evening and could possibly spark some further volatility before the week is out. We favour the recent highs acting as support going forward so a good target for exporters. Importers call us to place orders to take advantage of another push higher and to lock in cover for the medium term.

AUDGBP:
The Pound was the only major currency not to make any gains versus the Australian Dollar yesterday as UK Retail Sales came out at +0.1%, against expectations of +0.2%. UK GDP data will be of interest this evening and could well see Sterling play catch up with the other majors and pull the pair lower.

AUDNZD:
As per my comments on CNBC.com yesterday (Compass quoted on CNBC) the surprising comments from the RBNZ over the strength of the NZ Dollar has The Tasman Cross over 120 points higher and 360 points of the lows seen mid-month. As per our much discussed forecast, we are firmly in a medium term upward channel and sit NZD 1 cent below our target level.

Friday Funny: 'Do you really believe your husband when he tells you he goes fishing every weekend?' Asks Vicky's best friend, Myra. 'Why shouldn't I, Myra?' responds Vicky. 'Well, maybe he is having an affair?' comments Myra. 'No way,' laughs Vicky, 'he never comes home with any fish.'



Alternative Currency Hedging: Ask us about a great alternative to traditional forward contracts that give the ability to cover at attractive levels, but with the flexibility to walk away if the rate improves or if not required.

Referrals: Client referrals are very important to our business. If you know of any contacts that can benefit from our comprehensive range of international currency transfer services, please do not hesitate to contact me. I’d be glad to assist. 

Jim Devonport

Corporate & High Net Worth Client Manager

 

cid:image001.jpg@01CF85A0.58A4F160 cid:image002.jpg@01CF85A0.58A4F160 cid:image003.jpg@01CF859A.713266A0 

 

Open An Account

 

Sydney | Melbourne | Perth | Auckland | Zhuhai 

 

 

Mobile: +61 415 066 468

Phone: +61 2 9283 9792

Direct: +61 2 8039 1485

Aust Free: 1300 BEST FX (2378 39)

 

Address: Suite 33, Level 3

World Square, 650 George St

Sydney NSW 2000, Australia

www.compassmarkets.com


Compass Global Markets Pty Ltd ("Compass Global Markets") ACN 144 657 885, Authorised Representative No. 377377, is a Corporate Authorised Representative of Calibre Investments Pty Ltd (Australian Financial Services License No.  337927). Please refer to the Financial Services Guide which is available through our website www.compassmarkets.com for more information regarding the financial services that we offer. All references to prices, amounts and currency are in Australian dollars unless otherwise noted. This report is provided for Australian residents only and is not intended for use by residents of any other country. GENERAL ADVICE WARNING: The advice provided in this report has been prepared without taking into account your particular objectives, financial situation or needs. You should, before acting on the advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice having regard to these matters and, if appropriate, seek independent financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. This report has been prepared for the general use of Compass Global Markets clients and must not be copied, either in whole or in part, or distributed to any other person. This report and its contents are not intended to be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any security, product or asset, or to engage in or refrain from engaging in any transaction. Compass Global Markets does not guarantee the performance of any investment discussed or recommended in this report. This report and the information used within may include estimates and projections which constitute a forward looking statement that express an expectation or belief as to future events, results or returns. No guarantee of future events, results or returns is given or implied by Compass Global Markets. Such statements are made in good faith and based on reasonable assumptions at the time of publication. However, such statements are also subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors which could cause actual results to differ substantially from the estimates and projections contained in this report or otherwise provided by Compass Global Markets. Any information referencing past performance is not indicative of future performance. All information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be accurate. Compass Global Markets does not give any representation or warranty as to reliability, accuracy or completeness of information contained in this report and therefore all responsibility is expressly disclaimed, whether due to negligence or otherwise. The information presented and opinions expressed in this report are given as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. We hereby disclaim any obligation to inform you of any changes after the date hereof in any matter set forth in this report. Global Compass Markets, its affiliate and their employees may hold positions in the financial products, or securities or derivatives of, in the companies referred to in this report from time to time. Analyst Certification: The views or opinions expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) and no part of the remuneration of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in this report. Any views or opinions expressed are the author's own and may not reflect the views or opinions of Compass Global Markets unless specified otherwise.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD remained bid above 0.6500

AUD/USD remained bid above 0.6500

AUD/USD extended further its bullish performance, advancing for the fourth session in a row on Thursday, although a sustainable breakout of the key 200-day SMA at 0.6526 still remain elusive.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD faces a minor resistance near at 1.0750

EUR/USD faces a minor resistance near at 1.0750

EUR/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s small downtick and resumed its uptrend north of 1.0700 the figure, always on the back of the persistent sell-off in the US Dollar ahead of key PCE data on Friday.

EUR/USD News

Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data

Gold holds around $2,330 after dismal US data

Gold fell below $2,320 in the early American session as US yields shot higher after the data showed a significant increase in the US GDP price deflator in Q1. With safe-haven flows dominating the markets, however, XAU/USD reversed its direction and rose above $2,340.

Gold News

Bitcoin price continues to get rejected from $65K resistance as SEC delays decision on spot BTC ETF options

Bitcoin price continues to get rejected from $65K resistance as SEC delays decision on spot BTC ETF options

Bitcoin (BTC) price has markets in disarray, provoking a broader market crash as it slumped to the $62,000 range on Thursday. Meanwhile, reverberations from spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to influence the market.

Read more

US economy: slower growth with stronger inflation

US economy: slower growth with stronger inflation

The dollar strengthened, and stocks fell after statistical data from the US. The focus was on the preliminary estimate of GDP for the first quarter. Annualised quarterly growth came in at just 1.6%, down from the 2.5% and 3.4% previously forecast.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures