EUR/USD: waiting for US data and the FOMC


EUR/USD Current price: 1.1024

View Live Chart for the EUR/USD

E
The EUR/USD pair sunk to a daily low of 1.1021, and trades a few pips above the level ahead of the US opening, after breaking through the 1.1050 level. The common currency has retreated from the high set at 1.1126 on Monday, trading back inside a daily descendant channel coming from June high of 1.1435. There was no catalyst behind the latest slide, albeit quieter stocks in Asia and a mild recovery in European share markets may  be helping the greenback to recover against the EUR and the JPY. Later on in the day, the US will release its consumer confidence data for July, and the Markit PMIs, which may set the tone for the rest of the day, albeit the intraday range is expected to shrink as the day goes by, ahead of FED's economic policy statement on Wednesday. 

The 1 hour chart shows that the 20 SMA has turned south above the current level, now converging with the roof of the channel, whilst the technical indicators are approaching oversold levels. In the same chart, the 100 SMA stands around 1.0990, providing the next intraday support. In the 4 hours chart, however, the price remains above its 20 SMA whilst the Momentum indicator heads higher above the 100 level and the RSI indicator hovers around 54, all of which limits the downside at the time being.

Support levels: 1.0990 1.0950 1.0920 

Resistance levels: 1.1080 1.1125 1.1160 

GBP/USD Current price: 1.5581

View Live Chart for the GPB/USD
g
The British Pound advanced against the greenback up to 1.5617, getting a boost from the UK Q2 GDP readings, in line with expectations and showing that the economy grew 0.7% during the past three months. The pair however, was unable to sustain gains beyond the 1.5600 level, and retreated some, but maintaining a positive intraday tone. Technically, the 1 hour chart shows that the price is now above a mild bullish 20 SMA, whilst the technical indicators are recovering their upward slopes above their mid-lines, keeping the risk towards the upside. In the 4 hours chart, the price is above its moving averages that anyway are far from supporting additional advances, whilst the technical indicators have lost their upward strength, but hold above their mid-lines. A mild positive tone prevails, albeit the pair needs now to extend beyond the mentioned daily high, to confirm additional advances towards the 1.5650/70 region. 

Support levels: 1.5545 1.5500 1.5460 

Resistance levels: 1.5590 1.5620 1.5660

USD/JPY Current price: 123.74

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY
y

Up to 124.45 with strong US data. The USD/JPY pair recovered most of the ground lost this week, with the Japanese Yen weakening as local share markets stabilized following Monday's sell-off. Also, European equities are trading higher whilst pre-opening, US indexes are in the green. Trading above 123.70, the USD/JPY 1 hour chat shows that the price is now finding short term support around its 100 SMA, while the technical indicators are losing their upward strength in overbought levels. In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators have turned flat around their mid-lines, rather reflecting the ongoing range than suggesting the pair has lost its upward potential. Upcoming movements will likely be dependent on US data, with up beating manufacturing and confidence readings favoring a rally towards the 124.20 price zone. Further gains however, seem unlikely, as sellers have been surging on spikes towards the 124.00/40 region since late May. Worse-than-expected US data on the other hand, can send the pair down to 123.30, where intraday buyers should halt the slide. 

Support levels: 123.30 122.90 122.40 

Resistance levels: 124.20 124.45 124.90

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7307

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD
a
The AUD/USD pair trades higher in range, having been as high as 0.7326 during the Asian session. The 1 hour chart for the pair presents a mild positive tone, as the price develops above its 20 SMA, whilst the technical indicators are turning lower, but above their mid-lines. In the 4 hours chart, the price hovers around a bearish 20 SMA whilst the technical indicators present a neutral-to-bearish stance, favoring a retest of the daily low set around 0.7260.  

Support levels: 0.7260 0.7225 0.7185

Resistance levels:  0.7325 0.7350 0.7390 

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD extends losses on dovish remarks from ECB members, trades near 1.0780

EUR/USD extends losses on dovish remarks from ECB members, trades near 1.0780

EUR/USD continues its downward trend for the fourth consecutive day, driven by a stronger US Dollar influenced by the hawkish market sentiment surrounding the Federal Reserve and expectations of prolonged higher interest rates. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trades sideways above 1.2600 amid quiet session

GBP/USD trades sideways above 1.2600 amid quiet session

The GBP/USD pair trades sideways around 1.2622 during the early Friday. The market is likely to be mute in light trading on Good Friday. Later in the day, the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index will be released.

GBP/USD News

Gold ends Q1 2024 at record highs, what’s next?

Gold ends Q1 2024 at record highs, what’s next?

Gold is sitting at an all-time high of $2,236, lacking a trading impetus amid holiday-thinned conditions on Good Friday. Most major world markets, including the United States are closed in observance of Holy Friday, leaving volatility around Gold price highly subdued.

Gold News

Ripple's move above this key level could trigger nearly 50% rally for XRP

Ripple's move above this key level could trigger nearly 50% rally for XRP

Ripple price has overcome a critical resistance level and flipped into a support floor on the weekly time frame. This development happened while XRP tightly consolidated for roughly 250 days. As this coiling up comes undone, investors can expect XRP to kickstart a massive rally. 

Read more

Will they won’t they cut rates is the question of Q2?

Will they won’t they cut rates is the question of Q2?

There has been some significant push back from Fed and Bank of England members around the timing of rate cuts, and the Bank of Japan still haven’t physically intervened in the FX market to stem yen weakness although they are threatening to do so.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures