EUR/USD: 1.2990 up next

EUR/USD Current price: 1.2951

Dollar opens the week lower across the board, exception made by Aussie, weighted by weak Chinese data released over the weekend. The EUR/USD managed to advance some above the 1.2950 late US session on Friday, as the greenback eased on falling local share markets; futures opened also a tad lower keeping the pair above the level which stands now as immediate short term support. The calendar for the week includes inflationary readings for both economies, FED meeting and the Scottish referendum, anticipating some nice triggers from that side.

Technically, the EUR/USD 1 hour chart shows price stalled around a bearish 200 SMA while price advances above a bullish 20 SMA and indicators grind higher above their midlines. In the 4 hours chart technical readings also head higher in positive territory, supporting some upward potential as long as mentioned support holds. Immediate resistance stands at 1.2990, post US NFP high, followed by a stronger one in the 1.3040/50 price zone.

Support levels: 1.2950 1.2920 1.2880

Resistance levels: 1.3000 1.3045 1.3080

EUR/JPY Current price: 139.08

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The EUR/JPY holds above 138.90 maintaining its steady advance after bottoming around 135.70 earlier this month. Yen weakness seems far from easing and Chinese data also weights on yen despite not as much as in Aussie. The EUR/JPY hourly chart shows 100 SMA advancing firmly above 200 one both well below current price as momentum aims higher above its midline. RSI in the same time frame stands in overbought territory, but there is no sign the pair may attempt to correct lower. In the 4 hours chart technical readings present a strong upward tone, with RSI also in overbought territory: there are some former intraday highs around 139.20/30 offering immediate resistance, with some steady gains above it anticipating a probable approach to 140.00 price zone. Critical support stands at 138.40 and a break below should see the pair turning back south over the upcoming days.

Support levels: 138.90 138.40 138.00

Resistance levels: 139.30 139.70 140.10

GBP/USD Current price: 1.6268

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Despite a small gap higher, the GBP/USD remains below critical resistance around 1.6280, 38.2% retracement of its latest daily fall, maintaining a short term neutral technical stance. During the upcoming days, the UK will release two key macro readings, employment and inflation. But with the Scottish referendum on Thursday, market will be paying more attention to polls and reacting strongly to them, not to mention some choppy trading is expected until then. In the short term, the 1 hour chart shows a quite neutral stance with indicators flat above their midlines and 20 SMA horizontal, while the 4 hours chart shows price standing above a bullish 20 SMA but indicators look exhausted to the upside, now turning lower still in positive territory.

Support levels: 1.6190 1.6150 1.6115

Resistance levels: 1.6280 1.6320 1.6350

USD/JPY Current price: 107.26

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The USD/JPY trades within last Friday range, holding near 107.40 price zone, last Friday high and immediate resistance. The hourly chart presents a mild positive tone, with moving averages still heading higher below current price, 100 SMA now around 106.80 offering short term support, and indicators in positive territory, albeit lacking directional strength. In the 4 hours chart indicators also show no particular bias but hold above their midlines, reflecting current consolidative stage. Some downward correction could not be discarded, yet buyers will likely surge on approaches to mentioned dynamic support.

Support levels: 106.80 106.50 106.10

Resistance levels: 107.40 107.90 108.20

AUD/USD Current price: 0.9013

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China August factory growth slowed to a new six-year low, dragging AUD/USD near the 0.9000 level, with the pair holding near it an unable to fill the weekly opening gap. The 1 hour chart shows an increasing bearish momentum, with 20 SMA offering dynamic resistance around 0.9040, supporting further slides ahead. In the 4 hours chart indicators are biased lower well into negative territory, which keeps the risk to the downside, moreover on a break below mentioned 0.9000 level.

Support levels: 0.9000 0.8960 0.8920

Resistance levels: 0.9040 0.9070 0.9110

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