Yesterday’s oil price fall coincided with Draghi day in Europe and his late evening actions supported the Euro and the greenback fell by nearly 3% at one stage giving a modest boost to oil prices which had been weak during the day. This was because both the meetings being convened to stabilise the oil price have run into diary bother. The Latin American contingent havent met yet and the Opec/Non-Opec meeting scheduled originally for 20th March has also had problems. They include, not knowing who’s coming, where it is taking place or when it might actually happen.

To add to the problem, Iran has said that as it is not partaking in any price freeze there is no point in attending such a meeting. That gets Kuwait off the hook as you will remember that on Wednesday they said that they would freeze if Iran did, I didnt believe it then and I dont believe it now. The IEA monthly is out today, I expect it to say that although there has been some supply interruption that demand is still low and stocks are very high…Stop press, the first headline on Bloomberg is ‘IEA say prices may have bottomed out’…

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