USDJPY positive range theme aims higher; risk of shift to more bullish tone
We have stated in client reports this week that “within the range, the risk is skewed higher this week, for 102.00 and maybe then to key resistance at 102.23/36!”
The push above the lower level has signalled a more constructive tone to the range theme with risk through midweek for a challenge to barriers clustered at 102.22/28/36.
Only above the higher level would signal a more bullish shift and we see a likely stall here on a first test.
Only back below 101.70/65 set a more defensive range theme.
WHAT CHANGES THIS?
Upside: Above 102.36 signals a bull tone for 102.65 and 102.80 targets.
Downside: Below 101.06 signals a bear tone for 100.75 and 100.00 targets.
4 Hour USDJPY Chart
THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FX PRODUCTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED WITHIN THIS MATERIAL SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS ADVICE
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650
EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium
Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research.
Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.