Fundamental Breakdown: USD saw a mixed performance in 1Q


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Key Fundamental Bullets:

  • USD could not establish a trend as Fed tapering QE continued, but qualitative forward guidance emerged  
  • NZD advanced sharply as the RBNZ hiked rates by 25bps in March – First of G10 central banks to raise rates
  • AUD rallied as the RBA removed language signaling further rates cuts
  • JPY outperformed as the Nikkei 225 fell by nearly 9% in 1Q
  • NOK appreciated as pressure for a rate cut by the Norges Bank subsided due to better Norway data
  • CHF caught a bid on EM/Russia/European safe-haven demand
  • CNH underperformed as PBoC widened their daily FX trading band & Chinese data was weaker than expected
  • CAD fell as the Bank of Canada’s rhetoric proved more dovish here in 2014
  • RUB deteriorated sharply when tensions between Russia and the Ukraine escalated

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