Intra-Day Forex Forecasts - September 16, 2014


Good morning traders.  Imagine, if you will for a moment, of a land where forex prices have a strong directional bias and clear entries and exits abound.  

Sounds nice huh?

Well that world exists - just not right now; but should shortly!

The waiting continues as FX markets consolidate recent moves (lots of Wave 4 corrections underway) and with it we must be patient and wait for evidence the correction is complete.

Below are my thoughts on some key levels that might mark that end.    

Note:  the Intra-Day FX Forecast highlights price direction and likely price targets/stops designed for traders looking at trading opportunities over the next several hours. These are not official trade recommendations, merely guidelines and forecasts

North American Short-Term Outlook:

  • Dollar Index (DXC): Neutral 4th wave triangle continues to play out.  Perhaps the overnight low at 84.10 will provide the end point - if so, prices poised to move towards 84.77+
  • EUR/USD: Cautiously Bearish the correction off the Sep 15th lows has gone pretty deep (1.2963 - .786 Fib retracement). A break below 1.2925 would be a sign that prices are pushing lower.
  • USD/CHF: Cautiously Bullish like DXC, a 4th wave triangle likely unfolding and perhaps completed at the overnight low at .9321.  Below .9317 however suggests that the correction is not complete
  • USD/SGD: Neutral to Bullish wanna guess?  Yep - wave 4 correction still unfolding.  Looking for support/completion at 1.2603-1.2564 before the move higher towards my ideal target at 1.2700 unfolds.
  • USD/NOK: Cautiously Bullish the correction off the Sep 15th highs is pretty drawn out but as long as 6.3764 holds the bulls still can retain control.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

How will US Dollar react to Q1 GDP data? – LIVE

How will US Dollar react to Q1 GDP data? – LIVE

The US' GDP is forecast to grow at an annual rate of 2.5% in the first quarter of the year. The US Dollar struggles to find demand as investors stay on the sidelines, while waiting to assess the impact of the US economic performance on the Fed rate outlook. 

FOLLOW US LIVE

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0700, as key US data loom

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0700, as key US data loom

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0700 in the European session on Thursday. Renewed US Dollar weakness offsets the risk-off market environment, supporting the pair ahead of the key US GDP and PCE inflation data. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD extends recovery above 1.2500, awaits US GDP data

GBP/USD extends recovery above 1.2500, awaits US GDP data

GBP/USD is catching a fresh bid wave, rising above 1.2500 in European trading on Thursday. The US Dollar resumes its corrective downside, as traders resort to repositioning ahead of the high-impact US advance GDP data for the first quarter. 

GBP/USD News

Gold price edges higher amid weaker USD and softer risk tone, focus remains on US GDP

Gold price edges higher amid weaker USD and softer risk tone, focus remains on US GDP

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buying in the vicinity of the $2,300 mark on Thursday and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak, though the upside potential seems limited. 

Gold News

XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger

XRP extends its decline, crypto experts comment on Ripple stablecoin and benefits for XRP Ledger

Ripple extends decline to $0.52 on Thursday, wipes out weekly gains. Crypto expert asks Ripple CTO how the stablecoin will benefit the XRP Ledger and native token XRP. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures