Wednesday closed as an inside bar, which is a reliable signal to us that there is a shift in direction from the sellers who created the retracement seen over the last three days and a point as where the buyers perceive “value” to come back into the market to buy.
This “buyer/bullish” inside bar is resting against this intermediate trendline (4th test)and has rejected the previous swing high (made on the 19th June) but as support. This is an ongoing theme with this pair as the swing high of the 6th June also acted as support after a higher high and pullback were both made.
Furthermore, the hourly picture looks bullish with the higher low made yesterday represented on the smaller timeframe as a bullish “W” shaped formation. This, currently present, has been seen twice previously before the market accelerated upwards.
Bounce traders will typically trade the break of Wednesday’s inside bar’s high (plus spread and an additional pip) with their stoploss below Wednesday’s low (minus spread and that extra pip). If they are triggered into the trade, they will typically target a high probability reward profile with small reward by targeting the previous swing high at 175.38. Those who are more aggressive in their profit will simply let their trade run.
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Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD comes under pressure near 1.0630
Further gains in the Greenback encourage sellers to maintain their control over the risk complex, forcing EUR/USD to retreat further and revisit the 1.0630 region as the US session draws to a close.
GBP/USD retreats toward 1.2450 on modest USD rebound
GBP/USD edges lower in the second half of the day and trades at around 1.2450. Better-than-expected Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index data from the US provides a support to the USD and forces the pair to stay on the back foot.
Gold is closely monitoring geopolitics
Gold trades in positive territory above $2,380 on Thursday. Although the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds steady following upbeat US data, XAU/USD continues to stretch higher on growing fears over a deepening conflict in the Middle East.
Ripple faces significant correction as former SEC litigator says lawsuit could make it to Supreme Court
Ripple (XRP) price hovers below the key $0.50 level on Thursday after failing at another attempt to break and close above the resistance for the fourth day in a row.
Have we seen the extent of the Fed rate repricing?
Markets have been mostly consolidating recent moves into Thursday. We’ve seen some profit taking on Dollar longs and renewed demand for US equities into the dip. Whether or not this holds up is a completely different story.