FX - EURO

EURUSD

The EURO closed higher on Friday and the highrange close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a shortterm top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a shortterm top has been posted. If it extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing is the next upside target.

 

FX - YEN

USDJPY

THE YEN closed lower on Friday. The lowrange close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible nearterm. Closes above the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a shortterm bottom has been posted. If it renews the decline off July's high, June's low crossing is the next downside target.

 

FX - SWISS FRANC

USDCHF

THE SWISS FRANC closed lower on Friday. The lowrange close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish hinting that a shortterm bottom might be in or is near. Closes above the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a shortterm bottom has been posted. If it extends the decline off July's high, the 87% retracement level of the June July rally crossing is the next downside target.


FX - STERLING

GBPUSD

STERLING closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidates some of this week's decline. The highrange close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible nearterm. If it extends last week's decline, the July 11th gap crossing is the next downside target.


BULLION - GOLD

Gold

GOLD closed lower on Friday. A short covering rally tempered early session losses and the highrange close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signalling that a shortterm top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a shortterm top has been posted. If it renews the rally off June's low, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target.


BULLION - SILVER

Silver

SILVER closed higher on Friday as it extends the trading range of the past six weeks. The midrange close set the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signalling that a shortterm top might be in or is near. If it renews the rally off June's low, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing are needed to confirm that a shortterm top has been posted.


INDICIES - US 30

Dow Jones

US30 Index CFD closed higher on Friday. The highrange close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible nearterm. If the Dow extends this year's rally, upside targets will be hard to project with the Dow trading in uncharted territory. Closes below the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a shortterm top has been posted.

 

INDICIES - US 100

Nasdaq

US 100 Index CFD closed higher on Friday as it extends this year's rally. The highrange close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible nearterm. If it extends the rally off June's low, monthly resistance crossing is the next upside target. Closes below the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a top has been posted.

 

INDICIES - US 500

S & P 500

US 500 Index CFD closed higher on Friday. The highrange close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible nearterm. If it extends the rally off June's low, upside targets will now be hard to project with the index trading into uncharted territory. Closes below the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a shortterm top has been posted.


ENERGY

Wti Crude

US OIL posted a downside reversal on Friday after failing to take out July's high crossing. The lowrange close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible nearterm. Closes above July's high crossing would renew this summer's rally while opening the door for a possible test of weekly resistance crossing later this summer.

Natural Gas

NATURAL GAS closed lower on Friday as it extends the decline off May's high. The lowrange close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible nearterm. If it extends the aforementioned decline, the June 2012 low crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20day moving average crossing would confirm that a shortterm low has been posted.

 

COMMODITIES - US COFFEE

Coffee

US Coffee CFD closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off July's high. The highrange close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible nearterm. If it extends the decline off July's high, weekly support crossing is the next downside target.

The information set forth herein was obtained from sources which we believe to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. It is not intended to be an offer, or the solicitation of any offer, to buy or sell the products or instruments referred herein. Any person placing reliance on this commentary to undertake trading does so entirely at their own risk.

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