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Currencies Forecast Poll


The Forex Forecast Poll is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

Pair Average levels
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
EURUSD 1.2851 1.2895 1.2894
GBPUSD 1.5005 1.5028 1.5001
USDJPY 101.06 101.36 102.61
USDCHF 0.9654 0.9658 0.9662
AUDUSD 0.9180 0.9127 0.9246
Pair Average levels
1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
USDCAD 1.0556 1.0592 1.0428
NZDUSD 0.7892 0.7864 0.7834
GBPJPY 149.84 149.77 149.74
EURJPY 129.50 130.02 130.67
EURGBP 0.8618 0.8621 0.8677

*Updated on Fridays at 15:00*

July 8 to 12, 2013

EURUSD 1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter 1 Week 1 Month 1 Quarter
Levels Trend
Fri, Jul 05 2013, 17:00 GMT
Adam Narczewski 1.2950 1.2500 1.2300 Bullish Bearish Bearish
Anna Coulling 1.3025 1.3367 1.3489 Bullish Bullish Bullish
ANZ FX Strategy Team - - 1.3470 - - Bullish
BoA FX, Rates and Commodities Team - 1.2800 - - Sideways -
Claudiu Cazacu 1.2750 1.2940 1.2650 Bearish Bullish Bearish
Danske Research Team - - 1.3000 - - Bullish
DBS Group Research - - 1.3100 - - Bullish
Dr. S. Sivaraman 1.3244 1.3787 - Bullish Bullish -
Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research - - 1.3400 - - Bullish
Gonçalo Moreira, CMT 1.2700 1.3000 1.3300 Bearish Bullish Bullish
ICN.com analysis team 1.2745 1.2630 1.2040 Bearish Bearish Bearish
Ilian Yotov 1.2750 1.2600 1.3000 Bearish Bearish Bullish
ING Global Economics Team - 1.2800 1.2500 - Sideways Bearish
Ivan Delgado 1.2820 1.2750 1.2750 Sideways Sideways Sideways
J.P. Morgan Global FX Strategy - - 1.3000 - - Bullish
Luc Luyet, CIIA 1.2850 1.2750 1.2650 Sideways Sideways Bearish
NAB Global Markets Research - - 1.2700 - - Sideways
RBC Economic Research Team - - 1.2600 - - Bearish
RBS Team - - 1.2700 - - Sideways
Ross J Burland 1.2900 1.2750 1.2500 Bullish Sideways Bearish
Scotiabank FX Strategy Team - - 1.2600 - - Bearish
Scott Barkley 1.2710 1.3250 1.3550 Bearish Bullish Bullish
TD Securities Research Team - - 1.3500 - - Bullish
Tor Vollaløkken 1.3025 1.3150 1.3450 Bullish Bullish Bullish
UBS FX Research Team - 1.3000 1.2800 - Bullish Sideways
UniCredit Research - - 1.3300 - - Bullish
Valeria Bednarik 1.2745 1.2440 1.2200 Bearish Bearish Bearish
Yohay Elam 1.2700 1.2700 1.2700 Bearish Bearish Sideways
Average 1.2851 1.2895 1.2894 Sideways Sideways Sideways

EURUSD Comments:

  • Anna Coulling:

    Now looking to test support at 1.2780.

  • Dr. S. Sivaraman:

    Upward trending moves are expected in this month

  • ICN.com analysis team:

    A sustained breakout below 1.2760 will be a very negative indication over medium-term basis.

  • Ilian Yotov:

    The EUR could stay under pressure after the ECB confirmed the difference in its monetary policy compared with the Fed. With the ECB still in an easing mode while the Fed seems ready to take the first step towards tightening, the USD should benefit.

  • Scott Barkley:

    Should finish a 5th wave up and then retrace

  • Tor Vollaløkken:

    While the floor became lower from Mario Draghi’s “clarification”, I don’t see his comment as a new input. On balance last week was not giving a lot of new inputs. I like EURUSD longs from where we are and below with an outlook for 500 pips throughout summer. Also: Watch out for the USD long positions in other currency pairs.

  • Yohay Elam:

    Draghi's forward guidance weighs on the euro, despite stabilization efforts before the German elections

Risk Disclosure

This forecast has just an informative meaning and cannot be treated as the guide to action, signal, recommendation or an offer to carry out certain trading operation. The experts of this poll expresses personal opinions and will not assume any responsibility whatsoever for the actions of the reader.We always aim for maximum accuracy, and FXStreet cannot be held responsible for inaccurate information or typos.

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