Asia Brief: Australia Consumer Confidence Index 111.3 vs 113.3 previous. China FDI -14 % vs +0.8 % f/c. Japan FinMin Aso said decision on sales tax increase will be made by end of this year. RBA Assistant Governor Kent said any decline in AUD acts as econ stimulus, difficult to know where there AUD should be on a fundamental basis.
Global Markets: Nikkei is down 0.20 %, Shanghai Comp lost 0.10 %, ASX fell 0.50 %. Gold at $1237 (+0.15 %), Silver at $18.75 (+0.60 %), Crude Oil at $91.88 (-0.10 %). US 10 year yield at 2.58.
FX Overview: The RBA meeting minutes were largely an non-event, but the AUD/USD moved a bit higher as the central bank expressed concerns about inflated house prices. Other than that, the RBA comments were mostly unchanged from last month, with the bank seeing a period of stability for rates the most prudent course. The topside in AUD/USD was capped at 0.9053, as leveraged names and real money funds were happy to sell into the rally. The pair is now consolidating around the 0.90 level and a test of 0.8950 support seems imminent. Stops resting through 0.8980 (0.8982 was yesterday's low).
USD/JPY fell to 106.92 as Tokyo returned from a holiday, but the move was quickly retraced amid buying from local importers & investors, as well as US leveraged names. Option-related supply noted in front of the 107.50 level, with stops building above. Further consolidation ahead of the FOMC tomorrow is likely. A more hawkish Fed could pave the way for a 109.00 test, while a slightly more dovish bias would probably cause a retracement back to the 106.00 level.
Looking ahead, we have UK inflation data at 0830 GMT and German ZEW Econ Sentiment data at 0900 GMT as main events of the upcoming session.
Good luck!
Global Markets: Nikkei is down 0.20 %, Shanghai Comp lost 0.10 %, ASX fell 0.50 %. Gold at $1237 (+0.15 %), Silver at $18.75 (+0.60 %), Crude Oil at $91.88 (-0.10 %). US 10 year yield at 2.58.
FX Overview: The RBA meeting minutes were largely an non-event, but the AUD/USD moved a bit higher as the central bank expressed concerns about inflated house prices. Other than that, the RBA comments were mostly unchanged from last month, with the bank seeing a period of stability for rates the most prudent course. The topside in AUD/USD was capped at 0.9053, as leveraged names and real money funds were happy to sell into the rally. The pair is now consolidating around the 0.90 level and a test of 0.8950 support seems imminent. Stops resting through 0.8980 (0.8982 was yesterday's low).
USD/JPY fell to 106.92 as Tokyo returned from a holiday, but the move was quickly retraced amid buying from local importers & investors, as well as US leveraged names. Option-related supply noted in front of the 107.50 level, with stops building above. Further consolidation ahead of the FOMC tomorrow is likely. A more hawkish Fed could pave the way for a 109.00 test, while a slightly more dovish bias would probably cause a retracement back to the 106.00 level.
Looking ahead, we have UK inflation data at 0830 GMT and German ZEW Econ Sentiment data at 0900 GMT as main events of the upcoming session.
Good luck!
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