Good morning from Hamburg and welcome to our latest Daily FX Report. At least 132 Pakistanis, most of them children, were killed in the broad daylight attack on the military-run school on Tuesday, an assault lauded by Taliban insurgents as revenge for the killings of their own relatives by the Pakistani army. At least 132 Pakistanis, most of them children, were killed in the broad daylight attack on the military-run school on Tuesday, an assault lauded by Taliban insurgents as revenge for the killings of their own relatives by the Pakistani army.

Anyway, we wish you a successful trading day!


Market Review – Fundamental Perspective

Russia´s economic crisis won´t stop the Federal Reserve from dropping a vow to keep interest rates low for a considerable time, economists said, even as policy makers may acknowledge global risks have intensified. Central bankers meeting today and tomorrow may say they are monitoring markets carefully as Russia´s currency collapse threatens to destabilize other regions. At the same time, they will keep their focus on U.S. economic strength and probably replace the language on timing with something that says they are going to be patient with rate rises. The ruble plummeted into a free fall today as panic swept across Russian financial markets after a surprise interes-rate increase failed to stem a run on the currency. That contrasts with a strengthening U.S. labor market and the boost American consumers are getting from cheaper gasoline. Bank of Russia, led by Governor Elvira Nabiullina, unexpectedly raised its key interest rates to 17 percent yesterday from 10.5 percent to stop the ruble from declining. The currency has plummeted against the dollar this year the most of 170 global currencies tracked by Bloomberg. Few, if any, markets are immune from the stress and volatility stemming from the collapse in energy prices and financial turmoil in Russia, where the ruble has tumbled 52 percent this year. Currency volatility hasn´t been this high and liquidity this tight for the past 15 months, approaching levels reached when Federal Reserve roiled markets by signaling it would eventually raise interest rates. The pain main deepen if oil prices keep falling. If brent crude-oil futures slumped to $50 a barrel, from $59.86 yesterday and this year´s high of $115.71 in June, currency bid-ask spreads and market volatility could reach levels seen during the European debt crisis. Crude oil plunged about 45 percent this year as OPEC, responsible for 40 percent of world´s supply, sought to defend market share amid a U.S. shale boom.


Daily Technical Analysis

XAU/USD (Daily)

Looking long-term, Gold has experienced a high volatility and the price moved to a low at around $1130. There doesn’t seem to be a reliable support level, as the price dropped during the last weeks almost by more than 100 dollars. The CCI is showing that the the metal is moving under the Center line is. The price touched recently the highest Fibonacci resistance level (61.8) and was not able to break through it. It is likely that it will try to reach it again.

XAUUSD

Support & Resistance (Daily)

This document is issued and approved by Varengold WPH Bank AG. The document is only intended for market counterparties and intermediate customers who are expected to make their own investment decisions without undue reliance on the information set out within the document. It may not be reproduced or further distributed, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Due to international laws/regulations not all financial instruments/services may be available to all clients. You should have informed yourself about and observe any such restrictions when considering a potential investment decision. This electronic communication and its contents are intended for the recipient only and may contain confidential, non public and/or privileged information. If you have received this electronic communication in error, please advise the sender immediately, and delete it from your system (if permitted by law). Varengold does not warrant the accuracy, completeness or correctness of any information herein or the appropriateness of any transaction. Nothing herein shall be construed as a recommendation or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial product. This communication is for informational purposes only. Any market or other views expressed herein are those of the sender only as of the date indicated and not of Varengold. Varengold reserves the right to consider any order sent electronically as not received unless it is confirmed verbally or through other means.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures