EUR/USD Current price: 1.0950
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Broad dollar strength led the forex board ahead of the ECB economic meeting, with the EUR/USD pair extending down to 1.0854 with Draghi's press conference. The ECB has left its economic policy unchanged as expected, whilst the speech has brought nothing new to the table. Against his will, the ECB head answered questions regarding Greece, saying that the priority is to keep the country within the EU and that the Central Bank's total exposure to Greece now is of €130B. In the US, weekly unemployment claims released by the time Draghi started to speak, resulted better-than-expected, down to 281K against previous 297K, falling for the first time in a month. The EUR/USD pair managed to bounce from the mentioned low, but is now struggling to recover the 1.0900 level. Technically, the short term picture suggest the ongoing recovery is corrective, as the technical indicators have bounced from oversold territory, whilst the 20 SMA heads lower above the current price. In the 4 hours chart, the 20 SMA maintains its sharp bearish slope, albeit the technical indicators are also suggesting the pair may correct higher, with the next line of sellers waiting now in the 1.0950 region.
Support levels: 1.0860 1.0820 1.0790
Resistance levels: 1.0950 1.0990 1.1045
GBP/USD Current price: 1.5607
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The British Pound has fell down to 1.5556 against the greenback, ahead of the ECB economic policy meeting, bouncing afterwards, as the pair reached a critical support level, the 38.2% retracement of its latest bearish run. The 1 hour chart shows that the price remains below its 20 SMA while the technical indicators are recovering from oversold levels, but are still below their mid-lines, presenting a limited upward momentum at the time being. In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators are still above their mid-lines, while the brief slide was not enough to send the pair below its 20 SMA. Overall the pair maintains its bullish dominant tone, albeit at this point, some follow through beyond 1.5645 is required to confirm a new leg higher.
Support levels: 1.5560 1.5520 1.5485
Resistance levels: 1.5615 1.5645 1.5685
USD/JPY Current price: 123.98
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The USD/JPY pair struggles around the 124.00 figure, still finding selling interest on spikes above the level. The 1 hour chart shows that the technical indicators are turning lower above their mid-lines, but that the price holds well above a bullish 100 SMA, currently around 123.40. In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators lack directional strength in positive territory, whilst the moving averages are still flat well below the current price, suggesting little upward strength at the time being. The downside however, seems also limited with deeps down to 123.30 probably attracting buyers.
Support levels: 123.30 122.90 122.45
Resistance levels: 124.10 124.50 124.90
AUD/USD Current price: 0.7421
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The AUD/USD pair is in recovery mode, back above the 0.7400 level after falling down to 0.7349 during the past Asian session. The technical picture favors a short term upward continuation, as the 1 hour chart shows that the price is advancing strongly above its 20 SMA, whilst the technical indicators are now approaching overbought levels. In the 4 hours chart, the price is advancing through its 20 SMA while the technical indicators are aiming to cross their mid-lines towards the upside supporting additional short term advances. Further advances are likely, yet selling interest is strong on approaches to the 0.7500 figure, where the pair is expected to resume its decline if reached.
Support levels: 0.7400 0.7350 0.7310
Resistance levels: 0. 7445 0.7470 0.7500
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