Yesterday my trading contacts said that despite being a quiet day post the holiday weekend stateside spot prices broke down and Brent for example took out the support levels at $111 and $110.50 closing near the lows. As you know my main worry on the downside is actually not just technical but also that the market is heaving with punters who are long and wrong and for whom this market is not their normal habitat.
When that happens the usual pattern of behaviour is more likely to be a cutting of losses rather than to double the bet, I look forward to seeing the stats about random betting on the oil price as it comes through, Brent is now over $5 off the recent peak you know…
Watch out too for the Natural Gas price which has belatedly started to head towards $4, topping up inventories after the cold winter has held it firmer than many expected but the next month or two will be quite interesting.
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AUD/USD remains under pressure above 0.6400
AUD/USD managed to regain some composure and rebounded markedly from Tuesday’s YTD lows in the sub-0.6400 region ahead of the release of the Australian labour market report on Thursday.
EUR/USD faces decent contention around 1.0600
The knee-jerk in the Greenback reignited some buying interest in the risk complex and pushed EUR/USD to three-day highs near 1.0680, rapidly leaving behind the recent yearly low around 1.0600.
Gold eases despite risk-off mood
Gold trades in a relatively tight range near $2,390 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. In the absence of high-tier data releases, investors keep a close eye on headlines surrounding the Iran-Israel conflict.
Ethereum trades around the $3,000 support following a surge in validator queue
Ethereum (ETH) continued a sideways movement on Wednesday as investors seemed to be waiting for an upward or downward price catalyst. Despite the price stagnancy, the ETH validator queue - possibly fueled by the DeFi restaking boom - rose sharply.
Markets stabilize after Powell rules out rate hike, but the signs don’t look good
Markets are volatile right now; however, a relative calm has descended on the market and US. US stocks are down a touch, but the Vix is lower, US Treasury yields are lower, and the dollar is mostly lower vs. its G10 FX counterparts.