US 10yr future corrective rebound threat

  • We stated in our last report that for Thursday “we see an indecisive theme and a likely erratic digestion, maybe for a bounce to 124-20, even 124-28”.

  • A dip and a bounce for a bullish outside pattern above 124-20 eases the immediate bearish risk, but the previous reversal below the trend line support from early April points to still further downside into mid-June.

  • For Friday we see possible upside to 124-25, maybe 125-00, but whilst below here, see June bear pressures intact.

  • This leaves risk of erosion into next week to chart props at 123-275 and 123-21.


WHAT CHANGES THIS?

  • Above 125-00 eases bear risks; through 125-08/125 signals a neutral tone, only shifting positive above 125-175/185.

Daily US 10yr Sept Future: Adjusted Continuation Chart

US 10yr

2 hour US 10yr Sept Future Chart

US 10yr

THERE IS SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES, OPTIONS AND FX PRODUCTS. INFORMATION PROVIDED WITHIN THIS MATERIAL SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS ADVICE

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